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Frozen pre-match forecast · #162157

Egaleo VS Vyrona

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.70%
Draw
28.20%
Away
41.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7787
Log loss
1.2658

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
cd54a1a26713f4d4bb9d8fbc22a5e7e87ac4d5207041ae65eef4a0b8276170dc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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