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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16201

Artis VS Slovan Liberec

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.71%
Draw
28.92%
Away
51.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8080
Log loss
1.2406

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
b19b5f031ca0d4b975656ec884ed1a98c44ff2dbdf6e98daf7e25cb4acb8b5ea

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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