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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161851

Union Carl Berner VS Heming

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 12:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.61%
Draw
21.65%
Away
46.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 12:02 UTC
SHA-256
18f290589901509bd94a22d4f9ade40ff2bb69b92437927508f6621428d41576

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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