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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16177

Våg VS Brodd

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.92%
Draw
33.29%
Away
35.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6688
Log loss
1.1000

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
6c8ba6867519a6e4d68babffb0f07faada42705b67a4428d8fc95a796233e4fe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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