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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161692

Funkbol VS Nyvelados

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.69%
Draw
12.60%
Away
16.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

10 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1296
Log loss
0.3468

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
083fd1bdfa4714d79287a6d4988fc7c775b3ebf52de56cbb42a0ee34b9cc8fcc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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