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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161634

LPRC Oilers VS Freeport

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.13%
Draw
21.47%
Away
18.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0735
Log loss
1.6928

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
c0eea75c1a6c51183bad4c272caf6cf63e40254c3503e3931f1a076426930f23

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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