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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161627

APEJES Academy VS Unisport Bafang

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.18%
Draw
22.79%
Away
21.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9560
Log loss
1.4789

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
df83e2c4294c4c1d576914c108ffc232863d2d1eadbf4cdc0a4512ffb12996b8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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