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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161569

Korba VS Olympique du Kef

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.14%
Draw
26.51%
Away
15.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2691
Log loss
0.5423

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
c377cf5fef35d49bdc5ddb646c55018932f23b636fbab5d58deeaf1a6cf764e8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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