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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161551

Khroub VS JSM Skikda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.06%
Draw
28.13%
Away
19.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3482
Log loss
0.6528

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
90c8769fca6c17bb69a42f3c753ff52cb1b7c77b513710d542ddf4c602c6fa56

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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