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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161281

Arezzo VS Benevento

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.80%
Draw
26.59%
Away
32.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
ea9f2df79ee65ded342b90bd0c8c77a80a77095a534bc42294eb6555e8f87538

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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