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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161097

Frigg VS SF Grei

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.34%
Draw
17.86%
Away
25.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.9001
Log loss
1.3551

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
c4b6fd5340e6425ac140950f0d2abf3e5c8050c5f3426a3c8bb7ac1f07b73ad9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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