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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161060

Inter Ibiza VS Binissalem

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.22%
Draw
27.69%
Away
34.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7852
Log loss
1.2841

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
be845bf18761d30b46959b8ddc6f6591ba0375098e6668349e4feade836d815a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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