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Frozen pre-match forecast · #161053

LASK Juniors VS Kuchl

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.91%
Draw
18.56%
Away
14.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1650
Log loss
0.4017

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
730b88ffa2aca92623ae2a05804c8f116a6384cecfd8311ec5ba903f1fe7cbb7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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