Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #160988

Osogovo VS Akademija Pandev

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.23%
Draw
23.96%
Away
56.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0325
Log loss
1.6487

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
1185fa2ec325d69654276d077ee9634390e41e67fbdd5a1458a0766f71d4bec8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →