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Frozen pre-match forecast · #160706

Montrose VS Peterhead

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.05%
Draw
25.97%
Away
30.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
fb8e756f113b110005d92eba4ffa9e3415b6fd9a992aee3838cbd1f51aabb1ad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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