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Frozen pre-match forecast · #160490

ACV VS Dovo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.89%
Draw
14.62%
Away
9.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3139
Log loss
1.9228

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
0946458bd1739529f7c128c2d42514311eb3150423ba6816ff878401d8c7e958

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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