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Frozen pre-match forecast · #160453

Nyrsko VS Táborsko II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.97%
Draw
14.35%
Away
75.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.0897
Log loss
0.2787

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
5ff60d7eb09bdbcb72ccaedd2438ce1447d9ccf73f41470d8b1acef649d31ac9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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