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Frozen pre-match forecast · #160362

Mpam VS Makedonikos Neapolis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.55%
Draw
18.11%
Away
10.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
814f923abd4ae56bbe6b0e06080fb7638ad3ab8fd618510c0fbd2b2ceb42e6c7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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