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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16025

Ulfstind VS Bossekop

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.98%
Draw
32.78%
Away
47.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4258
Log loss
0.7500

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
eaf683b5783638ed2d364751b72c0602a4fda5db3ce95b1e8e1ac2fe1a671c9a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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