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Frozen pre-match forecast · #16023

Hinna VS Åkra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.20%
Draw
32.78%
Away
28.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6840
Log loss
1.1154

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
c7f644b132e1ea2d373bc4f2133f877436ae313a51709ee634673629e046996d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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