Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #160210

Songkhla VS Phrae United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.67%
Draw
26.75%
Away
31.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8099
Log loss
1.3185

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
07e4984836369e0bebbccaf4a901182f46bb71d06204bb39ef52471cae0a53cf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →