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Frozen pre-match forecast · #159801

Leobendorf VS Gloggnitz

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.09%
Draw
21.13%
Away
13.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0647
Log loss
1.5545

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
d41cb33a19c9587a22767ffd8c37fd0aa558f8799e010234666d52bd93f1dfc0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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