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Frozen pre-match forecast · #159727

Roskilde VS Fremad Amager

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.38%
Draw
22.40%
Away
17.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2368
Log loss
0.5045

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
37eeb5ff573c12804d3fdc92722a8df42d86d04178d3fab7b379180855a7a739

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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