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Frozen pre-match forecast · #15944

Monza U20 VS Internazionale U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.63%
Draw
32.35%
Away
49.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3992
Log loss
0.7128

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
42c77f141b2f1c2203f6b438a50bcf5f8f5c05054c12735e377f9122352bec33

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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