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Frozen pre-match forecast · #159407

Văn Hiến VS Dong Thap

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.75%
Draw
28.80%
Away
27.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4747
Log loss
0.8267

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
2da087c50ba33e6522c7475f3b72eab29e121cb06b8da2cd9694336dd9e98ba5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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