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Frozen pre-match forecast · #159405

Moldova U17 VS Belarus U17

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.84%
Draw
19.82%
Away
63.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
4c4a1cde957c1d3626ba69d41b0bcc74b02f0aa86159683eb5bae8b8b1783ab2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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