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Frozen pre-match forecast · #159346

Real Betis VS Feyenoord

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.46%
Draw
19.76%
Away
17.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2116
Log loss
0.4706

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
5f01c057546d5b720af94589ed13840c22aa5d23ddded2b048ec3269646f3bfd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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