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Frozen pre-match forecast · #159181

Wydad AC VS Amal Tiznit

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.94%
Draw
21.09%
Away
11.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0851
Log loss
1.5564

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
ab16167b6f332cd6fa1937828bd16f2fb0b4125e79d07e40e4784f13aa6d16d5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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