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Frozen pre-match forecast · #159125

Giouchtas VS Chersonissos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
72.36%
Draw
17.44%
Away
10.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1172
Log loss
0.3235

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
7bd9ead2b461c79a0a3bdb4a0f604ae15e2882720b120f6dd6bb2f5fb99657ac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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