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Frozen pre-match forecast · #158889

Rosenborg II VS NTNUI

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.73%
Draw
18.54%
Away
18.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2084
Log loss
0.4663

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
9fea86657e99c97d8a676a4ff25534b1eb44ec948aa9e58bb9ff27709ba8644b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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