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Frozen pre-match forecast · #158797

Perez Zeledon VS CS Herediano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.87%
Draw
25.88%
Away
48.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4016
Log loss
0.7287

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
e8cdb1c7a53202309c2a34c091cd894931b1cebabcdbfd2fb0ba23a961cc2c13

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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