Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #158534

Dečić VS Buducnost Podgorica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.57%
Draw
29.00%
Away
26.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8240
Log loss
1.3307

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
e51552c014e0fe55e2db89a5e28eb941b45747e2c7c06e4880e0064b34ce186a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →