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Frozen pre-match forecast · #158500

Sant Andreu VS Juventud Torremolinos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.61%
Draw
23.51%
Away
18.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9526
Log loss
1.4477

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
776d1ae1ceed1ede72c4be6a392c765003c9291c36e4d99b2c9862ae882f4d8a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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