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Frozen pre-match forecast · #158490

Klepp W VS Åsane W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
2.66%
Draw
7.62%
Away
89.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.0171
Log loss
0.1085

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
b0f6764490817003b7c9bf92bdc34f45f22e44404d60a63ece69b289b052caeb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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