Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #158432

Latte Dolce VS Anzio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.08%
Draw
27.74%
Away
37.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7834
Log loss
1.2823

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
180492214ffe066ecf8901f05fe701f3dae4be33e4d1e658ba1e8bf9f8022760

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →