Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #158346

Kastoria VS Anagennisi Artas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.74%
Draw
27.72%
Away
33.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7850
Log loss
1.2830

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
de7063c7d452fd6a5f070c27546b9ae5fa3a8cf6d7e380698c56659db5ae7885

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →