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Frozen pre-match forecast · #158210

Pusamania Borneo VS Yangon United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.45%
Draw
24.22%
Away
21.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3116
Log loss
0.6079

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
5126bd0934b002b7bb8635074c3ee265b12a5ecd71b72094b9b4f7e382963c3a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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