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Frozen pre-match forecast · #158120

Farsta VS Lindo FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.63%
Draw
18.38%
Away
15.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1775
Log loss
0.4211

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
79eafbb812a40329b999b4c57c2dd0ce65acf86d00a64f7ce23dc58c8894bce5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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