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Frozen pre-match forecast · #15809

Sigma Olomouc II VS Zlín II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.23%
Draw
33.79%
Away
38.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7957
Log loss
1.3010

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
5380a468bade28f3a45169ce9c787b9524e0e34db59ee1f521b30e8091d63bf5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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