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Frozen pre-match forecast · #158082

Thai Nguyen VS Bóng đá Huế

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.62%
Draw
21.04%
Away
13.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1802
Log loss
0.4212

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
47ac36fe79be678dbfa01ab40602cd7cdbfc0bc44a1f4355d201a50bd4f7c085

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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