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Frozen pre-match forecast · #157962

Rača VS Komárno II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.12%
Draw
18.97%
Away
13.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.2276
Log loss
1.9726

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
4f37df4643a849436a8e60e5e059ffa37fb9d10a1661dc7dc55181be9ecd2669

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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