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Frozen pre-match forecast · #157954

Zbrojovka Brno II VS Zlín II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.36%
Draw
20.31%
Away
15.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1917
Log loss
0.4406

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
f90c8896808fc856a89ea8e8de195cd0cc27e2e195f75b7019c2f3e6bc28136f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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