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Frozen pre-match forecast · #157880

Omonia Nicosia VS Olympiakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.59%
Draw
16.42%
Away
8.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.2631
Log loss
1.8066

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
b457b53956045aacdbeedacdaa8fd8936130fd213bd609eee49b84c2e00468ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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