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Frozen pre-match forecast · #157846

Kabuscorp VS Maniema Union

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.26%
Draw
30.93%
Away
34.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.6380
Log loss
1.0553

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
5dabb3f19eb71bc0aeb227813b559ddf32b00fc27f9c686e1a5afcaa772a514b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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