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Frozen pre-match forecast · #15784

Stellenbosch W VS UWC Ladies

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 07:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.34%
Draw
33.23%
Away
49.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3963
Log loss
0.7047

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
92101d4465516ae0aa32139c5130187e4a2570f15c6c21fbe90026bf056529ab

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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