Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #157775

Belshina VS Slavia Mozyr

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.49%
Draw
26.94%
Away
37.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5883
Log loss
0.9790

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
f7ee465392bd38e0c2e8007708313ff0f90dae675afe9a54a9623443432eb0d7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →