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Frozen pre-match forecast · #157706

Banants II VS Andranik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.38%
Draw
15.11%
Away
75.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0916
Log loss
0.2809

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
3effc1545d29e019551e129dd9349860d739bd6f45a075ad9565e38692912dbd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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