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Frozen pre-match forecast · #157628

Aalesund II VS Nardo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.74%
Draw
18.40%
Away
59.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
737c01350c78023acd67a0e05cc038af4fca56c1223117154791d3bcea0251e8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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