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Frozen pre-match forecast · #157598

Halmstad VS Hammarby FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
8.95%
Draw
15.09%
Away
75.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0886
Log loss
0.2750

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
18 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
4967ea03615a147e3ca5be901511147d9057b60546ccd5ddfc3d0a175a0d9d29

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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