Frozen pre-match forecast · #1575
Valmiera / BSS VS Riga Mariners
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 16 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 19 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 30.67%
- Draw
- 33.19%
- Away
- 36.14%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6120
- Log loss
- 1.0178
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 16 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
- SHA-256
- af739fad86dc1c2b16d001b66816b4a7416015826de05e1e7f03c2580da91e46
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.